{"id":1482,"date":"2024-08-23T09:38:10","date_gmt":"2024-08-23T09:38:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/?p=1482"},"modified":"2025-11-12T14:41:07","modified_gmt":"2025-11-12T14:41:07","slug":"exploring-the-potential-of-probability-based-modeling-for-urban-floods-in-mandaue-city-philippines","status":"publish","type":"project","link":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/project\/exploring-the-potential-of-probability-based-modeling-for-urban-floods-in-mandaue-city-philippines\/","title":{"rendered":"EXPLORING THE POTENTIAL OF PROBABILITY-BASED MODELING FOR URBAN FLOODS IN MANDAUE CITY, PHILIPPINES"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; column_structure=&#8221;1_3,1_3,1_3&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_column _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; type=&#8221;1_3&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;http:\/\/172.17.1.35\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/ACRS-2023-Banados.webp&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; title_text=&#8221;ACRS 2023-Banados&#8221; box_shadow_style=&#8221;preset2&#8243; box_shadow_horizontal=&#8221;29px&#8221; box_shadow_vertical=&#8221;-15px&#8221; box_shadow_blur=&#8221;6px&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;][\/et_pb_image][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; type=&#8221;1_3&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Authors<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<h4 class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ix7bs Typography-module__mZVLC Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\">Quijano, Isabella Pauline L.<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scopus.com\/pages\/organization\/60108083\" class=\"Button-module__f8gtt Button-module__rphhF Button-module__VBKvn Button-module__MlsfC Button-module__bCsDy Button-module__hK_LA Button-module__qDdAl\" style=\"color: #000000;\"><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__Nfgvc Button-module__Imdmt\">Smart City Solutions to Urban Flooding Program, College of Science, University of the Philippines Cebu<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__Nfgvc Button-module__Imdmt\" style=\"color: #000000;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scopus.com\/pages\/organization\/60108115\" class=\"Button-module__f8gtt Button-module__rphhF Button-module__VBKvn Button-module__MlsfC Button-module__bCsDy Button-module__hK_LA Button-module__qDdAl\" style=\"color: #000000;\">Earth and Space Sciences Division, National Research Council of the Philippines<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__Nfgvc Button-module__Imdmt\" style=\"color: #000000;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; type=&#8221;1_3&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h4 class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ix7bs Typography-module__mZVLC Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<h4 class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ix7bs Typography-module__mZVLC Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<h4 class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ix7bs Typography-module__mZVLC Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<h4 class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ix7bs Typography-module__mZVLC Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<h4 class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ix7bs Typography-module__mZVLC Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\"><\/span><\/h4>\n<h4 class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ix7bs Typography-module__mZVLC Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><span style=\"color: #3366ff;\">Ba\u00f1ados, Jao Hallen L.<\/span><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scopus.com\/pages\/organization\/60108083\" class=\"Button-module__f8gtt Button-module__rphhF Button-module__VBKvn Button-module__MlsfC Button-module__bCsDy Button-module__hK_LA Button-module__qDdAl\" style=\"color: #000000;\"><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__Nfgvc Button-module__Imdmt\">Smart City Solutions to Urban Flooding Program, College of Science, University of the Philippines Cebu<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scopus.com\/pages\/organization\/60108115\" class=\"Button-module__f8gtt Button-module__rphhF Button-module__VBKvn Button-module__MlsfC Button-module__bCsDy Button-module__hK_LA Button-module__qDdAl\" style=\"color: #000000;\"><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__Nfgvc Button-module__Imdmt\">Earth and Space Sciences Division, National Research Council of the Philippines<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_column _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"abstract\" class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__kJzgz Typography-module__JqXS9 Typography-module__Nfgvc\"><strong>Abstract<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"Abstract-module__pTWiT\">\n<p class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ETlt8 Typography-module__GK8Sg\" style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span class=\"Highlight-module__akO5D\">With the increasing frequency of urban floods caused by heavy precipitation in the Philippines, flood mitigation strategies to improve the city&#8217;s resilience must be rigorously pursued. Recent advances in digital technology, such as probability-based modeling, have provided an effective means to identify areas in which such strategies should be implemented. This paper gives a comprehensive analysis of the potential of probability-based modeling to help anticipate urban floods in Mandaue City, Philippines using probability density function (PDF). PDF is a statistical technique used to model the probability of an event occurring based on previous data. In this study, we use GIS by combining different layers containing flooding risk factors such as elevation and land use with existing historical data on flood events in the area. This combination can then be used to create a PDF that can show the probability of an urban flood occurring at various locations, which can allow for informed decision making around flood risk management. The results of this study seeks to inform stakeholders in order to create specific strategies for urban environments that could be used to reduce flooding risks and more importantly, offers a framework for other cities to apply probability-based modeling to generate tailor-made strategies for flood resilience. \u00a9 2023 ACRS. All Rights Reserved.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; column_structure=&#8221;1_2,1_2&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; box_shadow_style=&#8221;preset1&#8243; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;][et_pb_column _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Keywords:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ETlt8 AuthorKeywords-module__tuDgJ\"><span><span class=\"Highlight-module__akO5D\">Geographic Information System<\/span><\/span><span class=\"\">;<span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ETlt8 AuthorKeywords-module__tuDgJ\"><span><span class=\"Highlight-module__akO5D\">Probability Density Function<\/span><\/span><span class=\"\">;<span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ETlt8 AuthorKeywords-module__tuDgJ\"><span><span class=\"Highlight-module__akO5D\">Probability-based Modeling<\/span><\/span><span class=\"\">;<span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ETlt8 AuthorKeywords-module__tuDgJ\"><span><span class=\"Highlight-module__akO5D\">Random Forest<\/span><\/span><span class=\"\">;<span>\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"Typography-module__lVnit Typography-module__ETlt8 AuthorKeywords-module__tuDgJ\"><span><span class=\"Highlight-module__akO5D\">Urban Flood Resilience<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][et_pb_column _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; type=&#8221;1_2&#8243; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221;][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.26.0&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; theme_builder_area=&#8221;post_content&#8221; hover_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243; sticky_enabled=&#8221;0&#8243;]<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Link to the article:<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scopus.com\/inward\/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85191244283&amp;partnerID=40&amp;md5=32842fc92251f7319ae4e9e7b97b1497\">https:\/\/www.scopus.com\/inward\/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85191244283&amp;partnerID=40&amp;md5=32842fc92251f7319ae4e9e7b97b1497<\/a>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Authors Quijano, Isabella Pauline L. Smart City Solutions to Urban Flooding Program, College of Science, University of the Philippines Cebu Earth and Space Sciences Division, National Research Council of the Philippines &nbsp; Ba\u00f1ados, Jao Hallen L. Smart City Solutions to Urban Flooding Program, College of Science, University of the Philippines Cebu Earth and Space Sciences [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"project_category":[34],"project_tag":[],"class_list":["post-1482","project","type-project","status-publish","hentry","project_category-recent-publications"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project\/1482","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/project"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project\/1482\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1902,"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project\/1482\/revisions\/1902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1482"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"project_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project_category?post=1482"},{"taxonomy":"project_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cvsc.upcebu.edu.ph\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/project_tag?post=1482"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}